Technical Edge —
NYSE Breadth: 16% Upside Volume (!)
Advance/Decline: 33% Advance
VIX: ~$21.50
I like “line in the sand” setups. Either an asset holds that line in the sand or it doesn’t and that’s that. The S&P has a line in the sand that it’s breaching now.
One other note: As earnings pick up, they will either stabilize this decline or accelerate it. That likely doesn’t need to be said, but I said it just in case.
Plenty of individual stock setups below.
S&P 500 — ES
“The ES remains trapped below last week’s high and its long-term downtrend resistance mark.”
Resistance proved to be a problem for the S&P, as it now rolls over and is, for the moment, failing to hold support. The S&P is quickly unraveling and for bulls, it’s alarming how quickly it’s cutting through the 10-day and 50-day, as well the 3920 level.
If the 3910-ish area holds as support and the ES reclaims 3920, then a bounce back to the 50-day could be in the cards — even if they sell the bounce.
Otherwise, a larger unwind down to last week’s low and the 61.8% are looking more likely, down at 3891 and 3883, respectively.
SPY
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